Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.000035 0.000038 0.000041 0.000045 0.000049 0.000053 0.000058
2025-12-07 0.000029 0.000033 0.000037 0.000043 0.000049 0.000056 0.000064
2025-12-14 0.000026 0.000030 0.000035 0.000041 0.000048 0.000057 0.000068
2025-12-21 0.000023 0.000028 0.000033 0.000039 0.000048 0.000058 0.000071
2025-12-28 0.000021 0.000025 0.000031 0.000038 0.000047 0.000058 0.000074
2026-01-04 0.000019 0.000023 0.000029 0.000036 0.000046 0.000058 0.000075
2026-01-11 0.000018 0.000022 0.000028 0.000036 0.000046 0.000060 0.000080
2026-01-18 0.000017 0.000022 0.000028 0.000037 0.000048 0.000064 0.000087
2026-01-25 0.000019 0.000025 0.000033 0.000043 0.000059 0.000080 0.000112
2026-02-01 0.000018 0.000023 0.000031 0.000041 0.000057 0.000079 0.000112
2026-02-08 0.000016 0.000022 0.000029 0.000040 0.000055 0.000078 0.000113
2026-02-15 0.000016 0.000021 0.000028 0.000039 0.000055 0.000079 0.000117
2026-02-22 0.000015 0.000020 0.000028 0.000039 0.000056 0.000081 0.000123
2026-03-01 0.000014 0.000019 0.000026 0.000037 0.000054 0.000080 0.000125
2026-03-08 0.000013 0.000017 0.000025 0.000036 0.000053 0.000080 0.000127
2026-03-15 0.000012 0.000016 0.000023 0.000034 0.000052 0.000080 0.000129
2026-03-22 0.000011 0.000015 0.000022 0.000033 0.000050 0.000079 0.000130
2026-03-29 0.000010 0.000015 0.000021 0.000032 0.000049 0.000078 0.000131
2026-04-05 0.000010 0.000014 0.000021 0.000031 0.000049 0.000079 0.000137
2026-04-12 0.000010 0.000014 0.000021 0.000032 0.000051 0.000084 0.000149
2026-04-19 0.000011 0.000016 0.000024 0.000038 0.000062 0.000106 0.000195
2026-04-26 0.000010 0.000015 0.000023 0.000036 0.000060 0.000104 0.000194
2026-05-03 0.000009 0.000014 0.000021 0.000035 0.000058 0.000102 0.000194